Regional Semi-Finals Preview
Posted: Fri Mar 25, 2022 4:18 pm
On 3/30, Arizona and West Virginia have a "play-in" meet. The winner will join the other three teams for the semi-finals. So I've included both of their numbers. The top two finishers go on to the finals, where they would expect to see #8 Minnesota and #9 California.
All Around
Our average score is above anybody's high score. The chances of us not finishing first is pretty slim. Not finishing in the top 2 would be a catastrophic failure. The play-in match between West Virginia and Arizona should be close. As well as the competition between Arizona St and Arkansas for the second spot in the finals.
Vault
Our lowest NQS contributing score is 49.375. And 5 of our 6 NQS contributing scores are in the last 6 meets. So we're looking pretty good on vault.
Arizona St has been remarkably consistent the last 7 meets. All but one score has been between 49.250 and 49.350. Those must be the NQS contributing scores (I'm not going to take the time to figure out how many are home meets).
Arkansas has a really nice high score, so they are a contender here. They've been generally improving all season. Their high score was two meets ago. Their highest score outside of that meet is 49.300.
Bars
Our lowest NQS contributing score is 49.500. 4 of our last 6 meets are contributing scores. We've been really good on bars all season. Our worst score all year is 49.400.
Here again, Arizona St has been remarkably consistent the last 7 meets. Their 3rd meet of the year was really bad, so it skews their average. Their last 5 meets have to be 5 of their 6 NQS qualifying scores. So they are peeking.
Arkansas has been pretty inconsistent all year. Their high score was the 2nd meet of the year. They've had 2 really bad scores, the 1st and 7th meets of the year (out of 11). They could surprise on this event, but the odds aren't with them.
Beam
We've had our challenges on the beam throughout the season, but 9 of our last 10 meets have been pretty consistent. However, our scores are not trending up, they've been slightly trending down. If we can throw up a 49.500, we'll be golden. We haven't reached that the last 2 meets, but I feel like the beam team will be motivated to improve.
Arkansas has a similar issue. They've been trending down their last 5 meets. Their high score was the 3rd meet. Since then, 49.325 is their highest score and that was 6 meets ago.
Arizona St has it's highest 6 scores in the last 6 meets. They could be the ones to watch here. They could easily put up a 49.400+.
Floor
We've only had one meet below a 49.425, and that was the 2nd meet. I would expect a score between 49.4250 and 49.600.
Easily West Virginia's best event. The last 4 meets have either been 49.300 or 49.3250. I wouldn't be shocked if they put up a 49.400, but anything above that, I would be shocked.
Arkansas has only scored above 49.375 once and that was early February, 8 meets ago. 4 meets ago, they had a really poor score: 48.750. I'd be surprised if they put up anything higher than a 49.350.
Arizona was trending up the first 8 meets, but has been trending down the last 3. Anything above a 49.300 would be outstanding for them.
Except for 3 meets near the middle of the season, Arizona St has been relatively poor on the floor. They have a high score of 49.525, but they are much more likely to put up something in the 49.100 range.
I expect us to take the meet and each event.
All Around
Rank | Team | NQS | AVG | High |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oklahoma | 198.140 | 197.827 | 198.475 |
16 | Arizona St | 196.905 | 196.653 | 197.800 |
18 | Arkansas | 196.820 | 196.452 | 197.200 |
31 | West Virginia | 196.315 | 195.927 | 196.650 |
32 | Arizona | 196.300 | 195.882 | 196.850 |
Vault
Rank | Team | NQS | AVG | High |
---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Oklahoma | 49.450 | 49.375 | 49.550 |
11 | Arizona St | 49.275 | 49.200 | 49.350 |
14 | Arkansas | 49.235 | 49.177 | 49.500 |
41 | West Virginia | 49.005 | 48.930 | 49.125 |
45 | Arizona | 48.965 | 48.891 | 49.075 |
Arizona St has been remarkably consistent the last 7 meets. All but one score has been between 49.250 and 49.350. Those must be the NQS contributing scores (I'm not going to take the time to figure out how many are home meets).
Arkansas has a really nice high score, so they are a contender here. They've been generally improving all season. Their high score was two meets ago. Their highest score outside of that meet is 49.300.
Bars
Rank | Team | NQS | AVG | High |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oklahoma | 49.580 | 49.540 | 49.825 |
18 | Arizona St | 49.270 | 49.190 | 49.525 |
20 | Arkansas | 49.225 | 48.943 | 49.550 |
33 | Arizona | 49.095 | 48.798 | 49.200 |
38 | West Virginia | 49.055 | 48.789 | 49.200 |
Here again, Arizona St has been remarkably consistent the last 7 meets. Their 3rd meet of the year was really bad, so it skews their average. Their last 5 meets have to be 5 of their 6 NQS qualifying scores. So they are peeking.
Arkansas has been pretty inconsistent all year. Their high score was the 2nd meet of the year. They've had 2 really bad scores, the 1st and 7th meets of the year (out of 11). They could surprise on this event, but the odds aren't with them.
Beam
Rank | Team | NQS | AVG | High |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Oklahoma | 49.580 | 49.406 | 49.700 |
16 | Arkansas | 49.275 | 49.120 | 49.475 |
19 | Arizona St | 49.220 | 49.123 | 49.450 |
25 | Arizona | 49.180 | 49.041 | 49.275 |
36 | West Virginia | 49.060 | 48.891 | 49.275 |
Arkansas has a similar issue. They've been trending down their last 5 meets. Their high score was the 3rd meet. Since then, 49.325 is their highest score and that was 6 meets ago.
Arizona St has it's highest 6 scores in the last 6 meets. They could be the ones to watch here. They could easily put up a 49.400+.
Floor
Rank | Team | NQS | AVG | High |
---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Oklahoma | 49.585 | 49.506 | 49.675 |
19 | West Virginia | 49.345 | 49.318 | 49.625 |
24 | Arkansas | 49.305 | 49.211 | 49.550 |
27 | Arizona | 49.265 | 49.152 | 49.425 |
37 | Arizona St | 49.190 | 49.140 | 49.525 |
Easily West Virginia's best event. The last 4 meets have either been 49.300 or 49.3250. I wouldn't be shocked if they put up a 49.400, but anything above that, I would be shocked.
Arkansas has only scored above 49.375 once and that was early February, 8 meets ago. 4 meets ago, they had a really poor score: 48.750. I'd be surprised if they put up anything higher than a 49.350.
Arizona was trending up the first 8 meets, but has been trending down the last 3. Anything above a 49.300 would be outstanding for them.
Except for 3 meets near the middle of the season, Arizona St has been relatively poor on the floor. They have a high score of 49.525, but they are much more likely to put up something in the 49.100 range.
I expect us to take the meet and each event.